When can you reach financial independence?
FIRE stands for financial independence, retire early. You're financially independent when your investments can cover your spending for good. Enter your age, what you've invested, your income and spending after tax, your expected return and a withdrawal rate. In the example, a 30-year-old with $50,000 invested earns $90,000 and spends $50,000 a year. At 7% returns and a 4% withdrawal rate, they need $1,250,000 and get there by age 46.
Your number is your yearly spending divided by your withdrawal rate. At 4%, that's 25 times what you spend: $50,000 a year needs $1,250,000. The 4% comes from studies of past US markets, which found that withdrawing 4% in the first year, then adjusting for inflation, usually lasted 30 years. Retiring earlier means a longer retirement, so many people choose 3.5% or less. At 3.5%, the same spending needs about $1,428,571.
Spending matters twice. Cutting it raises what you save and lowers the number you need. In the example, spending $45,000 instead of $50,000 gets you there at 44. Spending $40,000 a year gets you there at 42, with a target of $1,000,000. Earning $10,000 more while spending the same moves it to 44. That's why the savings rate, the share of income you keep, is the number most FIRE planners watch.
Treat the result as a range. We assume steady returns, and real markets swing. A run of bad years right after you stop working can do lasting damage. For a fair comparison with today's prices, enter a return after inflation, such as 5% instead of 7%. In the example, that moves the age to 48. Then plan for health insurance, taxes on withdrawals and any income you'll still earn.